Ashland Daily Photo
Ashland Daily Photo - A picture a day from beautiful Ashland, Southern Oregon USA in the Rogue Valley
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SOU softball championship shirts available for just a few more days

sou softball allie stines

All-American Allie Stines with one of her 81 hits (.409 batting average) on the season

@allie_stines @SOURaiders @SOU_Softball

Details here.

Lizard for dinner

Kestral catches a lizard

Something today from a couple weekends ago when we hung out at our friends’ ranch in Beatty, Oregon.

Poult

Wild turkey family cruising through the backyard

@AshlandAnimals #turkey #wildlifephotography

Big game at 5 PDT on ESPN3

Licking her chops

@SOURaiders @SOU_Softball @__averymarie

Details here. If you don’t have access to ESPN3 at home, or prefer to watch with other fans, head on down to RedZone, Oaktree, or Northwest Pizza.

NAIA Softball World Series begins tomorrow

Stealing Second

@SOURaiders @SOU_Softball @tiiaannaa_ #NAIASBWorldSeries #NAIASoftball #PlayNAIA #CollegeSoftball @naia

Details here.

You can watch the game in Ashland at Oaktree (and maybe the other usual places–Northwest Pizza, RedZone, etc.)

Note that Thursday’s game has been postponed until 7 a.m. PDT on Friday due to weather.

SOU wins again, major upsets elsewhere

Touch 'em all

Raiders celebrate as Tayler Walker rounds the bases after crushing a home run to left center

@SOURaiders @SOU_Softball @taylerrwalkerr

The Raiders will play tomorrow at 11 a.m. They need win only once. Their opponent will need to win two in a row.

Around the NAIA, #1 Oklahoma S&A, #2 Marian, and #5 Lindsey Wilson all lost (although none have been eliminated yet). Oregon Tech is undefeated as well.

NAIA Softball Opening Round predictions

sou softball tayler walker

Tayler Walker

@SOURaiders @SOU_Softball @taylerrwalkerr

Game times are posted here.

Let’s take a look at what Massey “thinks”. Massey dropped the Raiders from the #4 spot after the two losses to College of Idaho a couple weeks ago. However, the Raiders have risen back to #5 on Massey after winning the conference tournament without a loss. The coaches left the Raiders at #4.

2019 Massey NAIA Softball rankings (May 9, 2019)

The coaches have Hope International at #11, but Massey has them at #14. Massey and the coaches disagree on Marymount and Taylor as well. The coaches have them at #30 and #28 while Massey has them as #20 and #35.

Massey gives the Raiders an 80% chance of beating Taylor, 72% chance against Marymount, and 68% chance against Hope. I’m not sure what chance that gives the Raiders in a double-elimination format, but probably a number well over 90% against these three teams. According to Massey, SOU has had a more challenging strength of schedule than their three opening round opponents. Oregon Tech and Corban are both in Massey’s top 20, and the Raiders went a combined 12-1 against them.

Murderers’ Row

sou softball lineup

2019 SOU softball starting lineup

@allie_stines @SOURaiders @SOU_Softball @__averymarie @quirkey_15 ‏@livvv_mackey @ShimekHannah @paigemleeper @taylerrwalkerr @HannahWessel1 ‏@tiiaannaa_

“Murderers’ Row” refers to the 1927 Yankees, who batted a combined .307–shy of the Tigers’ record .316 in 1921. League averages were much higher then (about .290–similar to the NAIA softball average–compared to about .260 in recent decades for MLB).

Flash forward almost one hundred years to this group. They are hitting a combined .369 as a team (and even higher for this starting crew of nine). That puts them at #2 in the NAIA among teams with over 1,500 plate appearances (and #4 if that number is lowered to 1,300). In the 10-team Cascade Conference they have five of the top 12 hitters and all nine are in the top 25.

We’ll find out later today what three teams will be coming to Medford next week to try to prevent the Raiders from moving on to the NAIA Softball World Series in Springfield, Missouri. Last year SOU went in as the #8-ranked team (and knocked off #15 St. Francis to move on). This year they will likely go in ranked #4 or #5 and face two teams lower in the rankings as well as an unranked team.

Raiders maintain #4 ranking

In there, ahead of the tag

@SOURaiders @SOU_Softball @__averymarie

Eight wins and no losses since the last coaches’ poll wasn’t enough to move SOU up in the rankings. However, the Raiders did move up to #4 on Massey for the first time this year. One good thing to note is the Raiders have the most difficult schedule (SoS on the graphic below), according to Massey Ratings, of the top four teams (Lindsey Wilson and Truett-McConnell are not in the coaches’ top four) which could prove useful to Southern Oregon come the NAIA Softball World Series.

Team of the Week

@ShimekHannah @SOURaiders @SOU_Softball @paigemleeper @taylerrwalkerr @quirkey_15 ‏

Details here.

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