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Ashland Daily Photo - A picture a day from beautiful Ashland, Southern Oregon USA in the Rogue Valley
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Frontier Conference Football Defensive Player of the Week

Off to the races

@SOURaiders @SOU_Football @Jrucker10

Julius Rucker made a team-high 8 tackles and had a fumble-recovery return of 94 yards for a touchdown — the longest at SOU in at least 20 years. More details here.

Battle for #1

sou football matt retzlaff jeremy scottow

Matt Retzlaff and Jeremy Scottow celebrate.
Scottow threw for a touchdown, caught a pass for a touchdown, and was the holder for several PATs in the victory over College of Idaho.

@SOURaiders @SOU_Football @Scottow12 @Matt_Retzlaff

After yesterday’s games Massey has given Reinhardt its #1 ranking, a ranking held by SOU for most of the season. The coaches will likely go with SOU or Morningside in tomorrow’s poll. Massey doesn’t have Morningside in its top five.

I previously hinted that the Frontier Conference may have only one team reach the postseason, but with Montana Tech’s victory over Carroll yesterday, things could go otherwise. If Montana Tech can get by Eastern Oregon this coming weekend, the winner of the Montana Tech vs. Montana Western contest on 11/14/15 may also make the postseason (along with SOU, assuming things go well for the Raiders the next few weeks). If EOU beats Tech and Tech beats Montana Western, then Southern Oregon will likely be the only Frontier Conference team to make the postseason.

Look mummy, there’s an aeroplane up in the sky

Look mommy, there's an airplane up in the sky pink floyd roger waters

@rogerwaters

Today’s photo comes from a soccer game I was shooting in Ashland earlier this month. The title has nothing to do with soccer though.

In a few weeks, Roger Waters’ beautiful movie, The Wall, will be available for home consumption. I want it even though I’ve seen it in the theater, and I have seen the live version (twice). It’s that good.

More cowbell

SOU football cowbell julius rucker senior sr

@SOURaiders @SOU_Football

The first 1,000 fans at tomorrow’s football game at Raider Stadium in Ashland will receive a free cowbell. This means that if you are one of the first 5,000 fans at the game, you want to bring ear plugs. Without them, you will be moving to the visitors section on the other side of the field or suffer from hearing loss. However, with rain in the forecast, you may want to be sitting under the roof.

Speaking of rain, what’s with the weather whenever the Fighting Saints and Raiders meet? There was some weird weather when Carroll came to SOU a few years ago, an extremely hot day in Ashland last year, the infamous snow game with negative temperatures in Helena last November, and the thunder and lightning in Helena last month.

SOU football after lightning storm

play resumes in Helena, Montana after lightning delayed the game on 9/5/15

Raiders beat Bulldogs 37-30 in OT

sou football Karrington Jones Julius Rucker

#6 Karrington Jones had two interceptions today for the Raiders

@SOURaiders @SOU_Football @k_jeezy6 @Jrucker10 @RunForMylz

SOU football Mylz Blake

Mylz Blake blocked an extra point attempt and had some key tackles against Montana-Western

NAIA football poll predictions

SOU football Matt Retzlaff

Matt Retzlaff making the tackle for the #2 Raiders

@SOURaiders @SOU_Football @Matt_Retzlaff

The entire Frontier Conference had a bye yesterday, but that doesn’t mean things won’t change in tomorrow’s coaches’ poll.

#3 Faulkner lost, at home, to an unranked team. That will drop them down a ways. The coaches will likely put them near the bottom of the top 10 even though Massey Ratings has them at #14, not far from the #9 they had them at before the loss.

#1 Lindsey Wilson won, not surprisingly, to another winless team. Lindsey Wilson’s opponents now have a combined record of… 1-19. That’s not a typo. The one win of one of the teams they beat came against an 0-5 team. In other words, it’s not mathematically possible for them to have had an easier schedule so far. Lindsey Wilson will likely lose, at least once and probably twice, over the next four weeks as they finally begin to play decent teams.

#4 Morningside could tie or pass idle Southern Oregon as they beat the #14 team on the road. Massey Ratings has Morningside at #4, but the coaches love the Great Plains Conference. Don’t be surprised to see them at #2 on Monday.

Meanwhile the Raiders will be traveling to Montana Western this weekend. Massey has this as #1 @ #3.

The new #2

sou football Joseph Lealofi Julius Rucker

Joseph Lealofi and Julius Rucker Jr.

@SOURaiders @SOU_Football @Jrucker10

SOU football jumped two spots in the 2015 NAIA Football Coaches’ Top 25 Poll released today, up from the #4 position. The Raiders continue to be ranked #1 in the Massey Ratings. All of the Frontier Conference teams have a bye this weekend.

Predictions keep coming true

SOU football Kamerun Smith @Kammi_LongxLegz

Kamerun Smith

@Kammi_LongxLegz @SOURaiders @SOU_Football

SOU football came up with a big win yesterday, outscoring Montana State-Northern by 73 points with mostly the second and third string players. That one wasn’t very difficult to predict, but let’s see what else happened…

I said Morningside would lose. They did.
I said all Frontier Conference teams would enter October with at least one loss. That happened too.

What’s next?

SOU football (3-1) has a bye this coming weekend. The following weekend will be a challenging road game at Montana-Western. compughterratings.com favors the Raiders by 5. Massey Ratings also predicts a Raider victory, by only 4 points though.

Although #1 Morningside lost, and will likely fall a few spots in the NAIA football coaches’ poll, Massey increased their computer ranking by two spots for barely losing to one of the best D3 teams. #3 Baker lost and will fall below SOU in tomorrow’s poll. Look for SOU to be in the #2 or #3 spot.

Still at #4

sou football Tanner Trosin Melvin Mason Keegan Lawrence JJ Latu Zach Davis

(L-R) Melvin Mason, Keegan Lawrence, Tanner Trosin, JJ Latu, and Zach Davis

@SOURaiders @SOU_Football @Sectionchamp2 @k_law21 @CCSaints

The Raiders dropped into a 4th place tie in the NAIA football coaches’ poll released today. Who plays who (or where) doesn’t seem to be taken into consideration. Beat College of Idaho on the road? Doesn’t matter. That’s why the coaches’ poll looks nothing like the computer rankings which have five Frontier Conference football teams in the top eight positions.

The new #1 (according to the coaches), Morningside, will likely lose to a D3 opponent this weekend so look for the Raiders to move up next week regardless of how many more points than Montana State Northern they score.

The game of the week this weekend will be Carroll at Montana Western. The coaches have dubbed it #6 at #16, but Massey more correctly puts it at #2 at #3. Should be a good game.

How did the computer do?

sou football Teran Togia Tanner Trosin

Tanner Trosin with the touchdown

@TannerTrosin @SOURaiders @SOU_Football

Earlier this week I talked about how computer rankings are better than a coaches’ poll for NAIA football (as I’ve done previously). I also mentioned how the computer picked SOU to beat the College of Idaho, 48-32, today. Did they? Well, they came pretty darn close. SOU won, 42-27. Massey Ratings predicted a 45-32 SOU victory, again very close to the actual result. What does the computer say about next week? SOU should win by 40 points over Montana State-Northern next Saturday (at home in Ashland) according to compughterratings.com and by 32 according to Massey Ratings.

What else happened today in NAIA football, and what will Monday’s poll look like?

Eastern Oregon beat previously undefeated Montana Tech (as I sort of, and the computer, predicted).

#1 Marian lost. This means Morningside will move up to #1 in the coaches’ poll, thanks in large part to their weak schedule and their location in the country (near the voting coaches). Massey Ratings doesn’t believe Morningside is a top five team (and predicts they will lose to their DIII opponent next week).

Lindsey Wilson will move up to #2. With a schedule not much stronger than Morningside, Massey also doesn’t consider them to be a top five team.

SOU will move up to #3. Massey Ratings will continue to have SOU at #1 after today’s results are factored in.

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