Tailgate time!
@SOURaiders @SOU_Football @seannnyboii
Bumper stickers with my name on them preferred but not required. Go Raiders!
Ashland Daily Photo - A picture a day from beautiful Ashland, Southern Oregon USA in the Rogue Valley
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Posts tagged Nikon D500
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Oshay Dunmore
@SOURaiders @SOU_Football @racetodaytona #RaceToDaytona #NAIAFootball #RoadToDaytona
Massey disagrees with the coaches on two of the games.
Tickets are now on sale for Saturday’s playoff game
Jaxon Clark
@SOURaiders @SOU_Football @JaxClark23
Details here.
The forecast is for mostly sunny skies, 50 degrees, and another Raider victory.
2017 NAIA Men’s Soccer National Championship pairings announced
Sean McManamon
@SOURaiders @seanMcManamon1 @ccccommish
The Raiders will be heading to Georgia Gwinnett for their first round match.
Raiders at home against Dickinson State this Saturday
Isiah Carter
The 10-0 Southern Oregon University football team will look to go 11-0 this coming Saturday in Ashland against 9-1 DSU. Massey has the Raiders as 18-point favorites.
If the Raiders win and USF, Reinhardt, Morningside, or Lindsey Wilson should lose then SOU will get another home playoff game on November 25. Lindsey Wilson is the team most likely to lose. Massey has Lindsey Wilson as 5-point favorites over Southeastern FL.
More items of note, Massey has three Frontier Conference teams in the final 16. The coaches have only SOU, despite (or maybe because of???) the Frontier Conference’s history of winning road playoff games. The Frontier Conference gets two votes in the coaches’ poll. The Mid-South Conference gets five votes. So it isn’t surprising that four Mid-South Conference teams are going to the playoffs, and two are ranked in the top four, even though the conference hasn’t produced a national champion in the past 15 years (Frontier Conference teams have won seven national champions in the last 15 years).
Raiders against Raiders
Alejandra Rodriguez
@SOURaiders @SOUWrestling @SouWomwrestling
Tonight at 6:30 at Ashland High School.
The new #5?
Bronsen Ader
@SOURaiders @SOU_Football @itsbronsenADER
Massey has the Raiders at #4. Massey has Grand View at #8 and Baker at #10. The question is, “what will the coaches do tomorrow?”
Before attempting to answer that question, I decided to go back over the NAIA football playoffs of the past five years to see which conferences the coaches have erroneously favored the most (by giving undeserved home games) and which they have punished the most (by putting them on the road against inferior opponents). I went through every playoff game from 2012 to 2016 but ignored the championship games since those were away games for both teams.
The results:
The Frontier Conference is by far the coaches most unfairly ranked conference. No Frontier Conference team has lost a home playoff game to a non-Frontier Conference team in the past five years. Seven times in the past five years, Frontier Conference teams have won road playoff games against non-Frontier Conference teams. No other conference can come close to this track record.
Most conferences are +1, 0, or -1 in this analysis, and therefore aren’t worth mentioning. However, one conference is -6. The Heart of America Conference has won zero playoff games on the road during the past five years. Heart of America Conference teams have lost six playoff games at home during the past five years.
The conclusion is pretty clear. The coaches are ranking Heart of America Conference teams too high and Frontier Conference teams too low. Will they continue to do so tomorrow?
If the coaches are at all fair (and less evil than they have been in the past), SOU will move up to #5, with Grand View coming in at #6, and Baker coming in no higher than #7. The odds are decent for this, but probably not more than 50%. The Raiders could end up at #6. If the coaches are truly evil then the 9-0 Raiders will remain at #7, with two Heart of America Conference teams with loses ahead of them in the rankings.
Looking ahead:
Southern Oregon is a 4-point favorite, according to Massey, at Montana Tech on Saturday. Lindsey Wilson is the only team ahead of the Raiders with a chance of losing on Saturday. Massey does give Lindsey Wilson an 80%+ chance of winning though. My prediction is for SOU to finish the regular season as the biased coaches’ #5. The coaches will send three Heart of America Conference teams to the playoffs but only one Frontier Conference team because…
…the deck is, and has been, stacked against the Frontier Conference in favor of the Heart of America Conference (and Mid-South Conference).
9-0 for the first time ever
@JosiahMaglente @SOURaiders @SOU_Football
Details here.
Don’t get too excited about Baker losing today as Grand View and Lindsey Wilson both won. Massey never had Baker in the top four; the coaches should drop Baker (and hopefully Grand View) below the Raiders. Still, even with a win over Montana Tech next weekend, the Raiders aren’t a lock for two home games in the playoffs.
Gameday!
@SOURaiders @SOU_Football
11 a.m. (PDT) start time for today’s romp in Havre, Montana. Oaktree will probably have the game on.