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Posts tagged devvon gage

New rankings and poll

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Coach Charlie Hall and Devvon Gage

@SOURaiders @SOU_Football #NAIAFootball #PlayNAIA @NAIA @CoachHall_SOU @DevvonGage

Massey was impressed with Marian’s win; they jumped three spots to #1. Morningside beat Hastings 65-0, putting them in a two-way tie with the idle Raiders for the #2 ranking. Although Rocky Mountain also had a bye week, Massey moved them up a spot to #7, meaning #2 will be traveling to play at #7 this Saturday. Massey gives the Raiders an 80% chance of winning and picks SOU by 11 points.

The new 2018 NAIA Football Coaches’ Top 25 Poll came out today. My prediction from Saturday was nearly correct. SOU did move up to #2. St. Francis came in it at #5 instead of #4. The Raiders received two first place votes, not enough to overcome Morningside’s 13. The coaches are predictable–move up so long as someone above you suffers a defeat, drop if you lose even if it was to a great team. Therefore, preseason rankings mean a lot in NAIA football. That hurt SOU last year, and may hurt Marian this year. If Marian and SOU win out, expect to see them in Ashland on December 1.

Busy weekend

@SOURaiders @souwbb @MustBeCASEY @BenDesaulnier23 @SOU_Football @DevvonGage

3 days to go so 3 new photos

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Chase Cole

@SOURaiders @SOU_Football @DevvonGage @Chasecole31

sou football raider stadium national anthem

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Kevin Blueford and Devvon Gage

4 days to go so 4 new photos

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Michael Roots

@SOURaiders @SOU_Football @Racecar_Roots @DevvonGage ‏@JosiahMaglente

sou football defense

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Matt Boudreaux

sou football Josiah Maglente-Tonu

Josiah Maglente-Tonu with the pick six

Gameday!

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SOU football vs Montana Tech

@SOURaiders @SOU_Football @ArmandoGauger @DevvonGage ‏

11 a.m. PST You can watch on multiple screens at Oaktree in Ashland or Mr. Smith’s in Medford.

From 7… to 7

sou football isiah carter devvon gage dane skriloff rey vega

@SOURaiders @SOU_Football @CarterTheGr8_

As predicted yesterday, the Raiders didn’t move in today’s poll.

New NAIA football rankings

sou football armando gauger sam woods

@SOURaiders @SOU_Football @tre_holmes @ArmandoGauger

EOU beat Western Montana today. Not much changed with Massey Ratings as SOU stayed put at #5. Massey was more impressed with Morningside’s win than Montana Tech’s victory over lowly Montana Northern so Montana Tech slid to #4 according to Massey.

Just a point of clarification… Several people said last week after this post that Massey doesn’t mean anything. It is true that Massey doesn’t mean anything in terms of who goes to the postseason or who gets home games in the postseason, but Massey means much more than the coaches’ poll in terms of predicting who will win games as I’ve documented many times over the years.

So what rankings do count? The extremely biased and inaccurate coaches’ poll is the only one that counts in the NAIA’s eyes. The first one comes out tomorrow (Monday, September 11). Based on what the coaches normally do, I believe Montana Tech will end up #5, Eastern Oregon will be ranked somewhere between #11 and #15, SOU will be somewhere between #14 and #18, and Western Montana will drop to somewhere around #20 or #21.

The Raiders will travel to Western Montana for next Saturday’s game. Massey has Southern Oregon as a 3-point favorite.

Update: How did I do?

Nine Raiders named to All-Conference Team

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Marcus Montano

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#21 Keegan Lawrence

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#11 Isiah Carter

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Julius Rucker

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#12 Devvon Gage

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Christmas Aumua

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Louis Desprez

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#72 Tylor King

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Matt Retzlaff

Idaho or bust

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Devvon Gage leads the Frontier Conference with 71 tackles

@SOURaiders @SOU_Football #NAIAFootball @DevvonGage

I’m on the road to Idaho today. The Raiders take on College of Idaho in the first of many must-win games tomorrow. Details here.

Raiders #9 in new coaches’ poll

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Armando Gauger, Julius Rucker, Isiah Carter, and Devvon Gage

@SOURaiders @SOU_Football #NAIAFootball

As predicted back on Saturday, the Raiders moved up three spots in the new NAIA Coaches’ Poll.

Looking at the eight teams ahead of the Raiders, here is some more fortune telling:
#1 Marian has only one challenging game on their schedule. They play at #3 Saint Francis a week from Saturday. If they win that game, they will almost certainly run the table.
#2 Morningside plays an NCAA DII school this Saturday. Morningside will probably lose, but they likely won’t drop more than a couple spots in the poll. After that, their only decent opponent is #5 Doane on Oct. 8.
#3 Saint Francis has an easy schedule other than Marian. It may take a huge upset by Davenport on November 5 in order for SOU to ever pass them in the coaches’ poll.
#4 Baker already got past their only competition (Grand View in week 1).
#5 Doane will likely lose at Morningside. Other than that, they may not lose despite not being in Massey’s top ten.
#6 Reinhardt has to get by Lindsey Wilson and Faulkner on the road. They will likely lose at least one of those games, if not both.
#7 Lindsey Wilson has Reinhardt in addition to games at Faulkner and Campbellsville. They should lose one, if not two, of those.
#8 Grand View got crushed by Baker, but they have an easy schedule other than that Baker game. If the Raiders and Grand View win out, it will be unfair for the coaches to give Grand View a higher ranking simply because SOU got beat by an NCAA DI team, especially considering the difficulty of SOU’s schedule vs. Grand View’s.
#9 SOU has six or seven more tough games (out of just eight) after starting the season against three strong teams.

In summary, even if the Raiders win out and finish 9-2, I think they will only end up at #5 or possibly #6. The system really isn’t fair if that happens. Punishing the prior year runner up for a narrow first game road loss and defeat at the hands of an NCAA DI team on the road in favor of teams with easy schedules and (probably eventually) only one loss makes no sense. The bad news for Southern Oregon is a #5 finish likely means only one home playoff game (again!). The good news is SOU will be better prepared, compared to teams with weaker schedules, for the playoffs (again!).